Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.184678 0.206260 0.228657 0.253580 0.280483 0.308594 0.340133
2025-01-12 0.155137 0.184430 0.216202 0.253039 0.294385 0.339176 0.391177
2025-01-19 0.132482 0.166553 0.204975 0.251122 0.304639 0.364354 0.435613
2025-01-26 0.116837 0.154544 0.198579 0.253126 0.318186 0.392609 0.483457
2025-02-02 0.106886 0.147981 0.197481 0.260468 0.337412 0.427285 0.539070
2025-02-09 0.095664 0.138582 0.191873 0.261459 0.348412 0.451973 0.583031
2025-02-16 0.087514 0.132202 0.189255 0.265505 0.362715 0.480478 0.631750
2025-02-23 0.082336 0.129157 0.190431 0.274007 0.382418 0.515672 0.689021
2025-03-02 0.073772 0.120686 0.183779 0.271760 0.388024 0.533148 0.724459
2025-03-09 0.067137 0.114292 0.179353 0.271948 0.396398 0.553912 0.764032
2025-03-16 0.060743 0.107657 0.174066 0.270500 0.402266 0.571285 0.799325
2025-03-23 0.057043 0.104693 0.173644 0.275491 0.416587 0.599598 0.848831
2025-03-30 0.052143 0.099649 0.170149 0.276310 0.425672 0.621804 0.891668
2025-04-06 0.047582 0.094728 0.166479 0.276597 0.433874 0.642873 0.933287
2025-04-13 0.043017 0.089370 0.161771 0.275055 0.439318 0.660200 0.970134
2025-04-20 0.039845 0.086048 0.159921 0.277501 0.450270 0.684994 1.017133
2025-04-27 0.038199 0.085210 0.161845 0.285545 0.469272 0.720963 1.079523
2025-05-04 0.035234 0.081745 0.159349 0.286714 0.478292 0.743296 1.123791
2025-05-11 0.033167 0.079722 0.159029 0.291112 0.491995 0.772217 1.177294
2025-05-18 0.032149 0.079575 0.161753 0.300257 0.512791 0.811271 1.245075
2025-05-25 0.029144 0.075307 0.157299 0.297872 0.516338 0.826088 1.279705
2025-06-01 0.026840 0.072189 0.154592 0.298087 0.523658 0.846225 1.321820
2025-06-08 0.024457 0.068656 0.150930 0.296545 0.528171 0.862316 1.358401